| Batanes' cold front blocks Parma ___________________ |
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| Typhoon2000.com STORM UPDATE 04-10-2009 (10:00 GMT) |
| TYPHOON PARMA (PEPENG) |
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| Thanks goodness, the High Pressure Area produced by the Siberian Cold Front that attempts to blanket Batanes at this time of year blocks (scares the hell out of) Parma; system reverses track, turns tail and heads WSW into South China Sea. ___________________________________________________ Typhoon Parma (Pepeng) drifting NNE slowly . . . may stall in the coming hours . . . Stormy weather to continue overnight across NW Luzon particularly Ilocos Provinces. Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon, Southern China & Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of Parma. Forecast Outlook: Parma is expected to move very slowly or quasi-stationary west of Balintang Channel - and track erratically as it is in an area of weak steering flow from the High Pressure Area to its NE. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast has changed, showing most computer models & various Asian weather agencies, taking Parma into this new forecast track - which is a turn WSW into the South China Sea in the coming 3 to 5 days. Alternate Forecast Scenario: There's also a possibility that Parma and Melor shall be both into Direct Cyclone Interaction (DCI) aka Fujiwhara Effect . . . where Melor recurves to the NE and Parma follows suit. This scenario is the least possible forecast route at this time. ___________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________ PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNAL # THREE (3) - Winds of 101 KPH TO 185 KPH in 18 hrs. In effect: BATANES, CALAYAN-BABUYAN ISLANDS, NORTHERN CAGAYAN, ILOCOS NORTE & APAYAO. PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2) - Winds of 61 KPH TO 100 KPH in 24 hrs. In effect: ILOCOS SUR, ABRA, KALINGA & REST OF CAGAYAN. The above areas will experience stormy weather tonight (with winds not exceeding 100 kph for #2 and more than 100 kph for #3. PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) - Winds of 30 KPH TO 60 KPH in 36 hrs. Now in effect: LA UNION, BENGUET, MT. PROVINCE & NORTHERN ISABELA. The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight and tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough. Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 3, 2 & 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides. |
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