| Parma's curveball misses Batanes ___________________ |
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| Typhoon2000.com STORM UPDATE 04-10-2009 |
| TYPHOON PARMA (PEPENG) |
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| Thanks goodness, Parma's (or Pepeng's) nasty curveball misses Batanes; system makes a bee line exit south of the Ivatan Archipelago. ___________________________________________________ Typhoon Parma (Pepeng) weakened further after crossing Extreme Northern Luzon last night . . . now off the NW coast of Ilocos Norte . . . still producing typhoon conditions across the Ilocos Provinces and parts of Apayao and Calayan Island Group. Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon, Southern China & Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of Parma. Forecast Outlook: Parma is expected to slow down as it enters weak steering flow . . . it shall drift slowly NNW. Northward then NNE (clockwise motion) for the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system slowly moving ESE to Eastward due to Direct Cyclone Interaction (DCI) aka Fujiwhara Effect w/ Typhoon Melor (20W), currently located 2,410 km. to the ESE. This scenario is still complicated at this time. Alternate Forecast Scenario: There's a possibility that Parma shall track West to WSW into the South China Sea and no longer interacts with Melor if the current High Pressure ridge over China strengthens and become the dominant steering factor for Typhoon Parma. However, this scenario remains poor at this time. ___________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________ PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNAL # THREE (3) In effect: BATANES, CALAYAN-BABUYAN ISLANDS, NORTHERN CAGAYAN, ILOCOS NORTE & APAYAO. PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2) In effect: ILOCOS SUR, ABRA, KALINGA & REST OF CAGAYAN. The above areas will experience stormy weather today (with winds not exceeding 100 kph for #2 and more than 100 kph for #3. PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) Now in effect: LA UNION, BENGUET, MT. PROVINCE, IFUGAO, ISABELA, PANGASINAN & NUEVA VIZCAYA. The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight and tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough. Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 3, 2 & 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides. |